Saturday, January 9, 2010

Value on NBA Home Games

Last night the Lakers were a 3.5 point favorite when they visited the Portland Trail Blazers, despite the fact the Blazers hadn't lost a home game to the Lakers since 2005! Last night, 9/12 home teams won their games straight up, beating teams like the Cavs, Lakers, Celtics and Magic! For some reason, the home court has a huge influence on these games. Looking over the season thus far, only 6/30 teams have losing records at home... and 3 of those are in the Atlantic division (NY, Philly and NJ).

Today's spreads have ALL of the home teams favored to win. My point is, whenever you see a an underdog at home, they warrant serious consideration for a money line play, if not at least a spread play.

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