Thursday, January 7, 2010

UNDERDOG (WILDCARD WEEK) LINES


Here's the lines I like this weekend with a brief why:


Jets have a shutdown corner in Darelle Revis, AKA REVIS ISLAND


Without Ochocinco, the Bengals will have a tough time throwing the ball, as Palmer did all season (although Mark Sanchez will probably continue to struggle as well). I see this game being a running game, coming down to shutdown D from the Jets, and a game of few touchdown keep this total under 34.


Can Dallas beat the eagles 3 times in a season? hard to say, both teams can be explosive. I'll take my money to the under though, as both D's will step up against the pass, and only allow a few TD's through the air. Desean Jackson will be doubled up, and butterfingers Williams (IMO) can't be trusted for the 'boys.


Patriots: Without Welker. Do I need to say more? Without him, Moss and Brady's numbers really SUFFER. I like Baltimore's advantage here


The only Reason the Cardinals are getting a point here is because of home field. The spread has already moved 2 points in the Packers favor since it opened. Minus the last-second-loss at Pitt, the Packers have won 8 in a row, and haven't lost Against The Spread in those 8 weeks. 

Here's this season's splits in 
points scored, points allowed between these two

Pack- 28.8 / 18.6
Zona- 23.4 / 20.3


 Quick ratio shows us, on average in this game, pack will score 24.5, Zona will score 21. Not to mention the Card's #2 reciever (Boldin) is out, I think Green bay can double up on Larry Fitz and win this one.

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